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SPCX OUTLOOK: BEARISH PROTECTIVE PUT CYCLE chain: 2026-07-17 18:06:21.518701
Shares
61
Last Price
$123.99
close $131.11
Position Value
$7,563.39
Share Delta
+0.61
Hedged Delta
0.00
Net Delta
+0.61
UNHEDGED
★ Recommended hedge: BUY 1x SPCX 08/21/26 $135.00 PUT @ ~20.35 ($2,035.00) — delta -0.570 vs share delta +0.61 → net +0.04. OI 20,431, IV 89.0%, spread 1.5%. Sell it into the next leg down, buy more shares, re-hedge.
HEDGE CANDIDATES — PUTS 30–120 DTE (ranked by delta fit)
Expiry Strike Bid / Ask Mark Delta IV OI Rel Sprd Ctrcts→0Δ Net Δ (1x) Cost (1x)
08/21/26 (35d)$135.0020.20 / 20.5020.35-0.57089.0%20,4311.5%1.07+0.04$2,035.00
SPCX 08/21/26 $135.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/08
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/0811.10 / 11.3011.20-0.32586.0%15,495
07/099.90 / 10.2010.05-10.3%-0.29687.0%16,413
07/1011.20 / 11.5011.35+12.9%-0.34883.0%16,484
07/1313.20 / 13.5013.35+17.6%-0.40784.0%18,341
07/1414.50 / 14.7014.60+9.4%-0.43785.0%18,514
07/1514.30 / 14.5014.40-1.4%-0.44883.0%19,909
07/1616.30 / 16.8016.55+14.9%-0.48988.0%20,114
07/1720.20 / 20.5020.35+23.0%-0.57089.0%20,431
08/28/26 (42d)$135.0020.10 / 21.7020.90-0.55687.0%7317.7%1.10+0.05$2,090.00
SPCX 08/28/26 $135.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/0910.50 / 12.0011.25-0.30486.0%0
07/1011.80 / 13.0012.40+10.2%-0.35381.0%28
07/1314.10 / 14.6014.35+15.7%-0.40782.0%91
07/1415.30 / 15.8015.55+8.4%-0.42785.0%447
07/1515.10 / 15.6015.35-1.3%-0.44482.0%537
07/1617.30 / 17.8017.55+14.3%-0.48085.0%579
07/1720.10 / 21.7020.90+19.1%-0.55687.0%731
08/28/26 (42d)$134.0019.30 / 21.7020.50-0.54787.0%12111.7%1.12+0.06$2,050.00
SPCX 08/28/26 $134.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/0910.20 / 11.2010.70-0.29585.0%0
07/1011.30 / 12.4011.85+10.7%-0.34481.0%24
07/1313.60 / 14.2013.90+17.3%-0.39783.0%31
07/1414.70 / 15.2014.95+7.6%-0.41885.0%185
07/1514.60 / 15.1014.85-0.7%-0.43382.0%192
07/1616.70 / 17.2016.95+14.1%-0.46788.0%198
07/1719.30 / 21.7020.50+20.9%-0.54787.0%121
09/18/26 (63d)$135.0023.20 / 23.8023.50-0.53084.0%29,5222.6%1.15+0.08$2,350.00
SPCX 09/18/26 $135.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/08
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/0814.50 / 15.1014.80-0.33581.0%16,802
07/0913.50 / 13.9013.70-7.4%-0.30983.0%18,749
07/1014.90 / 15.2015.05+9.9%-0.35480.0%18,876
07/1316.90 / 17.1017.00+13.0%-0.40379.0%20,024
07/1418.00 / 18.3018.15+6.8%-0.42680.0%23,944
07/1517.80 / 18.1017.95-1.1%-0.43778.0%26,112
07/1620.00 / 20.2020.10+12.0%-0.46584.0%25,773
07/1723.20 / 23.8023.50+16.9%-0.53084.0%29,522
08/21/26 (35d)$130.0016.70 / 17.2016.95-0.51589.0%14,3962.9%1.18+0.09$1,695.00
SPCX 08/21/26 $130.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/08
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/089.10 / 9.509.30-0.28287.0%9,099
07/098.20 / 8.408.30-10.8%-0.25588.0%9,575
07/109.20 / 9.409.30+12.0%-0.30084.0%10,136
07/1310.90 / 11.1011.00+18.3%-0.35585.0%10,573
07/1412.00 / 12.2012.10+10.0%-0.38486.0%12,257
07/1511.80 / 12.0011.90-1.7%-0.39384.0%12,625
07/1613.70 / 14.0013.85+16.4%-0.43687.0%13,436
07/1716.70 / 17.2016.95+22.4%-0.51589.0%14,396
08/28/26 (42d)$130.0017.60 / 18.3017.95-0.50687.0%5273.9%1.21+0.10$1,795.00
SPCX 08/28/26 $130.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/109.70 / 10.4010.05-0.30781.0%0
07/1311.70 / 12.3012.00+19.4%-0.35883.0%32
07/1412.80 / 13.2013.00+8.3%-0.37986.0%292
07/1512.60 / 13.1012.85-1.2%-0.39282.0%343
07/1614.50 / 15.0014.75+14.8%-0.42986.0%498
07/1717.60 / 18.3017.95+21.7%-0.50687.0%527
10/16/26 (91d)$135.0025.70 / 26.1025.90-0.50680.0%9,6581.5%1.21+0.10$2,590.00
SPCX 10/16/26 $135.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/08
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/0817.10 / 17.8017.45-0.33977.0%965
07/0916.10 / 16.4016.25-6.9%-0.31578.0%9,544
07/1017.40 / 17.7017.55+8.0%-0.35476.0%9,529
07/1319.30 / 19.7019.50+11.1%-0.39876.0%9,508
07/1420.40 / 20.8020.60+5.6%-0.41976.0%9,568
07/1520.30 / 20.7020.50-0.5%-0.42775.0%9,561
07/1622.50 / 22.8022.65+10.5%-0.45081.0%9,615
07/1725.70 / 26.1025.90+14.3%-0.50680.0%9,658
09/18/26 (63d)$130.0020.20 / 20.5020.35-0.48684.0%18,3811.5%1.26+0.12$2,035.00
SPCX 09/18/26 $130.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/08
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/0812.40 / 13.0012.70-0.29982.0%5,827
07/0911.60 / 11.8011.70-7.9%-0.27583.0%5,841
07/1012.70 / 13.0012.85+9.8%-0.31580.0%5,975
07/1314.30 / 14.7014.50+12.8%-0.36180.0%6,273
07/1415.40 / 15.7015.55+7.2%-0.38481.0%6,828
07/1515.20 / 15.5015.35-1.3%-0.39378.0%7,157
07/1617.10 / 17.5017.30+12.7%-0.42581.0%18,235
07/1720.20 / 20.5020.35+17.6%-0.48684.0%18,381
08/21/26 (35d)$125.0014.00 / 14.2014.10-0.45990.0%34,1281.4%1.33+0.15$1,410.00
SPCX 08/21/26 $125.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/08
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/087.50 / 7.707.60-0.24288.0%5,377
07/096.60 / 6.906.75-11.2%-0.21789.0%30,234
07/107.40 / 7.607.50+11.1%-0.25685.0%30,819
07/138.80 / 9.108.95+19.3%-0.30586.0%31,699
07/149.70 / 9.909.80+9.5%-0.33286.0%32,232
07/159.60 / 9.809.70-1.0%-0.33985.0%32,812
07/1611.30 / 11.5011.40+17.5%-0.38088.0%32,857
07/1714.00 / 14.2014.10+23.7%-0.45990.0%34,128
08/28/26 (42d)$125.0014.80 / 15.3015.05-0.45189.0%4393.3%1.35+0.16$1,505.00
SPCX 08/28/26 $125.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/107.90 / 8.608.25-0.26482.0%0
07/139.60 / 10.209.90+20.0%-0.31184.0%29
07/1410.50 / 11.0010.75+8.6%-0.33186.0%229
07/1510.40 / 10.8010.60-1.4%-0.34183.0%302
07/1612.00 / 12.5012.25+15.6%-0.37886.0%322
07/1714.80 / 15.3015.05+22.9%-0.45189.0%439
10/16/26 (91d)$130.0022.50 / 23.0022.75-0.46781.0%6,4572.2%1.31+0.14$2,275.00
SPCX 10/16/26 $130.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/08
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/0814.90 / 15.5015.20-0.30678.0%3,566
07/0913.90 / 14.3014.10-7.2%-0.28479.0%3,535
07/1015.10 / 15.4015.25+8.2%-0.32077.0%4,618
07/1316.70 / 17.1016.90+10.8%-0.36176.0%4,637
07/1417.80 / 18.1017.95+6.2%-0.38176.0%5,944
07/1517.70 / 18.0017.85-0.6%-0.38875.0%6,167
07/1619.70 / 20.0019.85+11.2%-0.41877.0%6,446
07/1722.50 / 23.0022.75+14.6%-0.46781.0%6,457
09/18/26 (63d)$125.0017.20 / 17.6017.40-0.44284.0%12,1872.3%1.38+0.17$1,740.00
SPCX 09/18/26 $125.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/08
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/0810.50 / 11.1010.80-0.26483.0%2,271
07/099.80 / 10.109.95-7.9%-0.24284.0%9,869
07/1010.70 / 11.0010.85+9.0%-0.27881.0%10,112
07/1312.10 / 12.5012.30+13.4%-0.32081.0%10,299
07/1413.10 / 13.4013.25+7.7%-0.34181.0%11,082
07/1512.90 / 13.2013.05-1.5%-0.34879.0%11,236
07/1614.60 / 14.9014.75+13.0%-0.38182.0%11,247
07/1717.20 / 17.6017.40+18.0%-0.44284.0%12,187
08/21/26 (35d)$120.0011.40 / 11.6011.50-0.40288.0%14,4881.7%1.52+0.21$1,150.00
SPCX 08/21/26 $120.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/08
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/086.10 / 6.406.25-0.20589.0%7,113
07/095.30 / 5.505.40-13.6%-0.18189.0%7,414
07/105.90 / 6.106.00+11.1%-0.21486.0%9,790
07/137.00 / 7.307.15+19.2%-0.25887.0%10,349
07/147.80 / 8.007.90+10.5%-0.28287.0%12,293
07/157.70 / 7.907.80-1.3%-0.28786.0%13,152
07/169.10 / 9.309.20+17.9%-0.32689.0%13,935
07/1711.40 / 11.6011.50+25.0%-0.40288.0%14,488
10/16/26 (91d)$125.0019.60 / 20.1019.85-0.42982.0%1,7532.5%1.42+0.18$1,985.00
SPCX 10/16/26 $125.00 PUT — last 7 day price history (nightly pulls, mark)
07/08
07/09
07/10
07/13
07/14
07/15
07/16
07/17
DateBid / AskMarkChg DeltaIVOI
07/0812.80 / 13.5013.15-0.27579.0%675
07/0912.00 / 12.4012.20-7.2%-0.25480.0%690
07/1012.90 / 13.2013.05+7.0%-0.28677.0%738
07/1314.40 / 14.8014.60+11.9%-0.32477.0%1,501
07/1415.30 / 15.7015.50+6.2%-0.34477.0%1,530
07/1515.20 / 15.5015.35-1.0%-0.34976.0%1,535
07/1617.10 / 17.4017.25+12.4%-0.37977.0%1,558
07/1719.60 / 20.1019.85+15.1%-0.42982.0%1,753
SCENARIOS — SPCX DOWN MOVE, HOLDING 61 SHARES + 1x 08/21/26 $135.00 PUT (estimate ⓘ)
MovePrice Shares P/L Put P/L (1x) Net P/L
-5%$117.79$-378.17+$374.51$-3.66
-10%$111.59$-756.34+$791.30$34.96
-15%$105.39$-1,134.51+$1,250.36$115.85
-20%$99.19$-1,512.68+$1,751.70$239.03
THE PROTECTIVE PUT CYCLE
1HEDGEBuy puts sized to your share delta (shares ÷ 100). A put whose delta matches makes the combined position ≈ delta neutral.
2STOCK DROPSShares lose value, but the puts gain roughly dollar-for-dollar (delta) plus acceleration (gamma).
3SELL PUTSHarvest the put gains after the down-move. Don't hold to expiry — theta eats the hedge.
4BUY SHARESUse the put proceeds to buy more shares at the lower price. Cost basis drops, share count grows.
5REPEATRe-hedge the larger position with new puts (recheck the table above — you now need more delta) and wait for the next leg down.
Adding positions: edit screeners/delta_neutral/delta_neutral_positions.json — add a ticker, share count, and strategy params (DTE window, min open interest, max spread), then rerun python generate_delta_neutral.py. Each position renders its own hedge card on this page. Scenario P/L is a delta+gamma estimate from real chain greeks; it ignores IV changes and time decay.